Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.557127 1.932604 2.422741 3.130484 4.164872 5.691239 8.268872
2025-02-09 1.061025 1.453892 2.051129 3.096912 5.071807 9.190884 20.893177
2025-02-16 0.805474 1.168020 1.771557 2.969254 5.694409 13.341411 52.744272
2025-02-23 0.678974 1.030046 1.659694 3.053445 6.844493 21.689748 229.410556
2025-03-02 0.599897 0.945250 1.605688 3.220308 8.466211 39.081227 7520.862824
2025-03-09 0.528756 0.855839 1.511046 3.237974 9.730694 66.321379 NaN
2025-03-16 0.462626 0.761792 1.379408 3.091497 10.236606 98.262470 NaN
2025-03-23 0.429029 0.723702 1.358647 3.254026 12.572599 244.046026 NaN
2025-03-30 0.394091 0.676489 1.304447 3.287580 14.440901 650.430662 NaN
2025-04-06 0.358925 0.623300 1.223698 3.194476 15.417262 1735.604678 NaN
2025-04-13 0.330278 0.579808 1.157888 3.127351 16.613445 9053.083272 NaN
2025-04-20 0.319957 0.573854 1.185900 3.436957 22.657363 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.305793 0.558054 1.186355 3.653025 29.626261 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.286005 0.527119 1.139032 3.635649 33.718346 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.264869 0.490694 1.069496 3.480128 34.819305 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.252749 0.473794 1.053350 3.586097 43.387450 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.244001 0.463717 1.055362 3.795702 59.397773 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.232092 0.444684 1.026340 3.817965 71.204960 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.217402 0.417496 0.967436 3.633922 71.481050 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.211101 0.410239 0.970575 3.838186 102.646880 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.202498 0.396384 0.949893 3.880479 129.213387 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.192144 0.377236 0.908791 3.763231 138.256572 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.183122 0.360759 0.874440 3.678899 152.535437 NaN NaN